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[02319] Parameter estimation of the Richards model in multi-wave epidemic cases

  • Session Time & Room : 3D (Aug.23, 15:30-17:10) @E504
  • Type : Industrial Contributed Talk
  • Abstract : The Richards model with changepoint detection can model multi-wave infectious disease transmission. Next, choose the best parameter estimation method from non-linear least squares and genetic algorithm to accurately predict COVID-19 cases in Indonesia and Japan. Genetic algorithm predictions outperform non-linear least squares. A genetic algorithm only needs a range for the initial value, while non-linear least squares need an exact value. The government and health facilities can use prediction results to prevent infectious disease epidemics.
  • Classification : 62P10, 92B15, 92B05
  • Format : Talk at Waseda University
  • Author(s) :
    • Faihatuz Zuhairoh (Universitas Gadjah Mada )
    • Dedi Rosadi (Universitas Gadjah Mada )
    • Adhitya Ronnie Effendie (Universitas Gadjah Mada )