[02319] Parameter estimation of the Richards model in multi-wave epidemic cases
Session Time & Room : 3D (Aug.23, 15:30-17:10) @E504
Type : Industrial Contributed Talk
Abstract : The Richards model with changepoint detection can model multi-wave infectious disease transmission. Next, choose the best parameter estimation method from non-linear least squares and genetic algorithm to accurately predict COVID-19 cases in Indonesia and Japan. Genetic algorithm predictions outperform non-linear least squares. A genetic algorithm only needs a range for the initial value, while non-linear least squares need an exact value. The government and health facilities can use prediction results to prevent infectious disease epidemics.
