[00395] What can be the potential risk of Mpox outbreak in the endemic country?: Non-Markovian stochastic modeling study
Session Time & Room : 5B (Aug.25, 10:40-12:20) @A201
Type : Contributed Talk
Abstract : In 2022, the Mpox outbreak shocked the world, with a completely different pattern and scale compared to past incidences in non-endemic countries, more than 80,000 cases have been confirmed. In this talk, we present how we analyzed the risk of local spread using a non-Markovian stochastic model. Multiple factors, which are suspected to affect the early stage of the outbreak significantly, the contact tracing, self-report-related behavior of the primary case, and secondary infectees were examined.
